1 00:00:13,190 --> 00:00:10,629 day two of the geophysics marathon in 2 00:00:15,270 --> 00:00:13,200 san francisco scientists stream to and 3 00:00:17,670 --> 00:00:15,280 from hundreds of poster presentations 4 00:00:19,269 --> 00:00:17,680 and talks in the cavernous moscone 5 00:00:20,950 --> 00:00:19,279 convention center 6 00:00:22,950 --> 00:00:20,960 i caught up with another nasa new 7 00:00:25,349 --> 00:00:22,960 investigator whose research is near and 8 00:00:27,990 --> 00:00:25,359 dear to californians he showed me his 9 00:00:29,589 --> 00:00:28,000 talk here in moscone center south 10 00:00:31,910 --> 00:00:29,599 my name is gareth funning 11 00:00:34,069 --> 00:00:31,920 and i'm a assistant professor at the 12 00:00:36,229 --> 00:00:34,079 university of california riverside my 13 00:00:37,830 --> 00:00:36,239 main field of research is into the 14 00:00:40,790 --> 00:00:37,840 movements of faults either in 15 00:00:42,389 --> 00:00:40,800 earthquakes or slowly uh in a form of 16 00:00:44,470 --> 00:00:42,399 motion we call creep 17 00:00:46,389 --> 00:00:44,480 creep is a name we give to 18 00:00:50,150 --> 00:00:46,399 a behavior which 19 00:00:52,549 --> 00:00:50,160 has movement which is slow and steady um 20 00:00:54,950 --> 00:00:52,559 so we could talk about soil creek where 21 00:00:56,790 --> 00:00:54,960 slopes slowly move and things like that 22 00:00:58,389 --> 00:00:56,800 but in terms of faults 23 00:01:00,310 --> 00:00:58,399 we are talking about a movement of a 24 00:01:01,750 --> 00:01:00,320 fault which is slow and steady 25 00:01:03,110 --> 00:01:01,760 uh and in the absence of large 26 00:01:04,549 --> 00:01:03,120 earthquakes 27 00:01:06,230 --> 00:01:04,559 so normally what we expect to see on a 28 00:01:07,030 --> 00:01:06,240 fault is that 29 00:01:09,429 --> 00:01:07,040 um 30 00:01:11,670 --> 00:01:09,439 you have two plates moving or two blocks 31 00:01:13,750 --> 00:01:11,680 of the earth's crust moving with respect 32 00:01:15,109 --> 00:01:13,760 to each other on a fault 33 00:01:16,789 --> 00:01:15,119 and that fault 34 00:01:19,270 --> 00:01:16,799 most of the time is locked by friction 35 00:01:21,350 --> 00:01:19,280 as this movement is trying to occur so 36 00:01:23,270 --> 00:01:21,360 the stresses that that the two blocks in 37 00:01:24,149 --> 00:01:23,280 part on this on this fault 38 00:01:25,590 --> 00:01:24,159 um 39 00:01:28,550 --> 00:01:25,600 do not exceed the friction that's 40 00:01:31,990 --> 00:01:28,560 holding the fault together until 41 00:01:33,429 --> 00:01:32,000 suddenly it goes bang in one earthquake 42 00:01:35,749 --> 00:01:33,439 in the case of a creeping fault that 43 00:01:37,670 --> 00:01:35,759 doesn't happen whatever the frictional 44 00:01:40,630 --> 00:01:37,680 state of the fault is 45 00:01:41,670 --> 00:01:40,640 allows it to move very slowly without 46 00:01:43,749 --> 00:01:41,680 having 47 00:01:45,670 --> 00:01:43,759 any any large earthquake 48 00:01:46,710 --> 00:01:45,680 and that's really quite unusual 49 00:01:48,149 --> 00:01:46,720 most of the faults that have been 50 00:01:49,830 --> 00:01:48,159 observed in the world 51 00:01:52,230 --> 00:01:49,840 don't creep 52 00:01:55,270 --> 00:01:52,240 this is a project that is 53 00:01:57,990 --> 00:01:55,280 has been funded by nasa um as as the 54 00:01:59,670 --> 00:01:58,000 education outreach element of a of a new 55 00:02:01,190 --> 00:01:59,680 investigative grant 56 00:02:02,789 --> 00:02:01,200 and the ground is to study 57 00:02:04,789 --> 00:02:02,799 fault creep in the san francisco bay 58 00:02:06,550 --> 00:02:04,799 area northern california in general but 59 00:02:07,910 --> 00:02:06,560 the hayward fault is currently 60 00:02:09,669 --> 00:02:07,920 considered the most dangerous fault in 61 00:02:11,110 --> 00:02:09,679 the bay area consider in some way if we 62 00:02:13,030 --> 00:02:11,120 know where the fall is creeping we know 63 00:02:14,790 --> 00:02:13,040 where it's also not creeping and it's 64 00:02:16,630 --> 00:02:14,800 the areas that are not creeping the ones 65 00:02:19,030 --> 00:02:16,640 that will have earthquakes there's some 66 00:02:20,470 --> 00:02:19,040 examples of creek damage to various 67 00:02:22,150 --> 00:02:20,480 things in 68 00:02:24,550 --> 00:02:22,160 in the uh in northern california 69 00:02:26,630 --> 00:02:24,560 northern and central california 70 00:02:29,030 --> 00:02:26,640 this is where the the hayward fault goes 71 00:02:29,830 --> 00:02:29,040 through a wall so it actually broke 72 00:02:37,830 --> 00:02:29,840 that 73 00:02:39,430 --> 00:02:37,840 instructive so we can say 74 00:02:40,550 --> 00:02:39,440 diagonal cracks can only be caused by 75 00:02:41,750 --> 00:02:40,560 shearing 76 00:02:43,750 --> 00:02:41,760 so actually 77 00:02:45,750 --> 00:02:43,760 wrenching of the of the wall by lateral 78 00:02:47,830 --> 00:02:45,760 movement so i've been making 79 00:02:50,070 --> 00:02:47,840 measurements from space for some time on 80 00:02:52,630 --> 00:02:50,080 of of the movements that these balls 81 00:02:54,710 --> 00:02:52,640 cause so the technique i use 82 00:02:57,110 --> 00:02:54,720 uh in in most of my research is a 83 00:02:59,030 --> 00:02:57,120 technique known as instar which uses 84 00:03:00,630 --> 00:02:59,040 satellites that that beam radar 85 00:03:03,430 --> 00:03:00,640 essentially to the ground 86 00:03:05,509 --> 00:03:03,440 and they're in orbits which repeat every 87 00:03:07,430 --> 00:03:05,519 few weeks in the case of this particular 88 00:03:09,830 --> 00:03:07,440 satellite which is a european satellite 89 00:03:12,390 --> 00:03:09,840 known as an ers2 90 00:03:14,390 --> 00:03:12,400 that has a five-week repeat so every 35 91 00:03:17,509 --> 00:03:14,400 days it passes over the same point and 92 00:03:18,630 --> 00:03:17,519 it emits beams of radar and microwave 93 00:03:21,910 --> 00:03:18,640 wavelengths 94 00:03:23,750 --> 00:03:21,920 and um 95 00:03:25,190 --> 00:03:23,760 norm and it 96 00:03:27,270 --> 00:03:25,200 scatters off the ground and is returned 97 00:03:29,190 --> 00:03:27,280 to the satellite what we measure is the 98 00:03:31,509 --> 00:03:29,200 amplitude and the phase of the return of 99 00:03:33,509 --> 00:03:31,519 the radar to the satellite so the phase 100 00:03:35,670 --> 00:03:33,519 is essentially the number of wavelengths 101 00:03:37,750 --> 00:03:35,680 between satellite and the ground and if 102 00:03:39,270 --> 00:03:37,760 the ground should move then that phase 103 00:03:40,949 --> 00:03:39,280 will change 104 00:03:42,550 --> 00:03:40,959 red colors indicate movement away from 105 00:03:44,070 --> 00:03:42,560 the satellite the satellite is flying 106 00:03:47,030 --> 00:03:44,080 from north to south and it's looking 107 00:03:48,070 --> 00:03:47,040 down into the west so red movements are 108 00:03:49,910 --> 00:03:48,080 movements 109 00:03:51,110 --> 00:03:49,920 either down or to the west 110 00:03:52,949 --> 00:03:51,120 blue movements are the opposite their 111 00:03:54,869 --> 00:03:52,959 movements are part of the east the 112 00:03:56,470 --> 00:03:54,879 project i came up with the name citizen 113 00:04:00,390 --> 00:03:56,480 creep meter 114 00:04:02,149 --> 00:04:00,400 designed to measure creep on faults and 115 00:04:03,910 --> 00:04:02,159 there were a few of them in the area but 116 00:04:05,910 --> 00:04:03,920 there seems to be quite difficult to get 117 00:04:07,670 --> 00:04:05,920 permission to install and so 118 00:04:09,990 --> 00:04:07,680 instead of using instruments i thought i 119 00:04:12,789 --> 00:04:10,000 could use people because people are much 120 00:04:18,629 --> 00:04:16,310 and the idea for the project was that uh 121 00:04:20,069 --> 00:04:18,639 wherever uh a creeping fault interacts 122 00:04:21,990 --> 00:04:20,079 with the built environment in one way or 123 00:04:23,990 --> 00:04:22,000 another you'll you'll have changes to 124 00:04:25,990 --> 00:04:24,000 that to those those structures which are 125 00:04:29,430 --> 00:04:26,000 obvious and visible and should increase 126 00:04:31,270 --> 00:04:29,440 with the changes that breaks the offsets 127 00:04:33,350 --> 00:04:31,280 should increase with time 128 00:04:35,590 --> 00:04:33,360 at the moment we have involved 129 00:04:36,710 --> 00:04:35,600 two local high schools in the in the 130 00:04:39,909 --> 00:04:36,720 project 131 00:04:41,830 --> 00:04:39,919 through this non-profit in fremont 132 00:04:43,830 --> 00:04:41,840 we have teachers that show up from those 133 00:04:46,870 --> 00:04:43,840 schools to our outreach presentations 134 00:04:48,950 --> 00:04:46,880 and from there certain students uh then 135 00:04:52,710 --> 00:04:48,960 volunteered to take part so this is one 136 00:04:54,070 --> 00:04:52,720 of our original photos from 2009 137 00:04:55,590 --> 00:04:54,080 in one of the residential neighborhoods 138 00:04:56,790 --> 00:04:55,600 in the south of the city 139 00:04:59,670 --> 00:04:56,800 and you can see 140 00:05:02,310 --> 00:04:59,680 there's a small offset in the curb 141 00:05:05,430 --> 00:05:02,320 and this is a photo taken 142 00:05:06,469 --> 00:05:05,440 18 months later by one of our students 143 00:05:07,749 --> 00:05:06,479 and 144 00:05:08,950 --> 00:05:07,759 well if you look at the difference 145 00:05:10,310 --> 00:05:08,960 between the two 146 00:05:11,830 --> 00:05:10,320 we haven't managed to completely 147 00:05:14,469 --> 00:05:11,840 co-register them but you can see that 148 00:05:17,510 --> 00:05:14,479 there are some some visually obvious 149 00:05:20,629 --> 00:05:17,520 changes in the curve 150 00:05:22,710 --> 00:05:20,639 so a centimeter of movement 151 00:05:25,430 --> 00:05:22,720 um actually is is very consistent with 152 00:05:27,350 --> 00:05:25,440 the rate that we would expect to see 153 00:05:30,070 --> 00:05:27,360 if the centimeter essentially means that 154 00:05:32,390 --> 00:05:30,080 we are doing in 18 months there's about 155 00:05:34,390 --> 00:05:32,400 six to seven millimeters